All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Franklin Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Jasper Invite |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
Brown County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/11 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
| Team Rating |
75 | |
220 |
56 |
80 |
103 |
58 |
442 |
123 |
80 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
70 |
56 |
80 |
103 |
58 |
75 |
123 |
80 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Franklin Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Jasper Invite |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
Brown County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
|---|
| 5 |
Jace Works |
12 |
15:31 |
15:49 |
|
15:37 |
15:27 |
15:59 |
15:13 |
|
15:42 |
15:32 |
| 11 |
Denton Sluder |
12 |
15:40 |
15:59 |
|
15:23 |
15:29 |
16:00 |
15:39 |
|
16:09 |
15:50 |
| 19 |
Justin Reckers |
11 |
15:54 |
16:23 |
|
15:49 |
15:58 |
16:03 |
15:54 |
|
15:59 |
15:45 |
| 23 |
Joseph Day |
10 |
15:58 |
16:36 |
15:48 |
15:49 |
15:55 |
16:04 |
15:57 |
|
16:07 |
15:59 |
| 40 |
Graham Pumphrey |
11 |
16:10 |
16:07 |
|
16:00 |
16:32 |
16:04 |
15:52 |
|
16:25 |
16:13 |
| 52 |
Sam Steinmetz |
12 |
16:15 |
16:46 |
|
16:06 |
16:17 |
16:05 |
16:08 |
|
16:26 |
16:17 |
| 70 |
Logan Vanzant |
12 |
16:20 |
16:25 |
16:13 |
16:00 |
16:29 |
16:17 |
16:02 |
|
16:25 |
16:51 |
| 73 |
Rohan Norris |
10 |
16:21 |
17:24 |
16:19 |
16:16 |
16:18 |
16:18 |
16:17 |
16:53 |
|
|
| 266 |
Garrett Perfetto |
10 |
17:05 |
18:43 |
16:51 |
17:02 |
17:05 |
17:02 |
17:12 |
17:01 |
|
|
| 291 |
Leyton Hottell |
12 |
17:10 |
|
|
16:53 |
17:07 |
17:32 |
17:13 |
17:10 |
|
|
| 324 |
Levi Carothers |
11 |
17:15 |
17:56 |
17:13 |
17:16 |
17:02 |
17:18 |
17:13 |
17:11 |
|
|
| 363 |
Drew Hoeflinger |
11 |
17:20 |
|
16:50 |
17:36 |
17:23 |
17:17 |
17:10 |
17:31 |
|
|
| 395 |
Jackson Schneider |
10 |
17:25 |
18:16 |
17:12 |
17:15 |
17:27 |
17:31 |
17:22 |
17:26 |
|
|
| 464 |
Jackson Lowther |
9 |
17:33 |
|
17:38 |
17:45 |
17:32 |
17:27 |
17:31 |
17:20 |
|
|
| 512 |
Zaid Warsi |
10 |
17:38 |
18:09 |
17:00 |
|
|
17:55 |
17:32 |
17:41 |
|
|
| 542 |
James Stofel |
11 |
17:42 |
17:48 |
17:28 |
17:31 |
17:28 |
17:50 |
17:49 |
17:58 |
|
|
| 657 |
Noah Weidman |
11 |
17:53 |
17:48 |
17:18 |
17:14 |
17:59 |
18:13 |
18:34 |
17:55 |
|
|
| 671 |
Liam Glyn-Jones |
11 |
17:55 |
17:44 |
18:57 |
17:30 |
17:40 |
19:28 |
18:15 |
19:23 |
|
|
| 727 |
Cole DeVreese |
9 |
17:59 |
|
18:01 |
18:14 |
17:47 |
17:48 |
18:02 |
18:00 |
|
|
| 760 |
Jonathan Hatton |
10 |
18:02 |
|
18:26 |
17:54 |
18:06 |
17:51 |
17:47 |
18:05 |
|
|
| 1,073 |
Ethan Lovell |
10 |
18:28 |
|
18:27 |
18:18 |
18:25 |
18:18 |
18:31 |
18:50 |
|
|
| 1,255 |
Caleb Niewedde |
10 |
18:43 |
|
20:18 |
19:05 |
19:01 |
18:37 |
18:28 |
18:24 |
|
|
| 1,427 |
Kohen Fischer |
12 |
18:57 |
19:56 |
19:21 |
20:49 |
20:42 |
19:10 |
18:23 |
18:36 |
|
|
|
Cayden Chandler |
11 |
19:03 |
|
18:49 |
19:25 |
18:46 |
18:58 |
19:09 |
19:08 |
|
|
|
Kayne Kelsey |
9 |
19:06 |
|
19:12 |
18:49 |
19:06 |
19:14 |
18:30 |
19:46 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
1.2 |
73 |
83.9 |
11.7 |
2.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
33 |
89.0 |
11.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
16 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jace Works |
100% |
6.0 |
5.7 |
7.2 |
8.6 |
9.4 |
9.1 |
10.1 |
9.0 |
7.9 |
6.5 |
5.7 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Denton Sluder |
100% |
10.2 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Justin Reckers |
100% |
20.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Joseph Day |
100% |
24.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Graham Pumphrey |
100% |
43.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
|
99.8% |
| Sam Steinmetz |
100% |
55.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
|
99.3% |
| Logan Vanzant |
100% |
67.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
97.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jace Works |
100% |
3.3 |
10.0 |
15.3 |
18.4 |
21.3 |
23.1 |
9.8 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Denton Sluder |
100% |
5.0 |
1.3 |
4.4 |
8.0 |
13.2 |
23.1 |
33.9 |
11.8 |
3.1 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Justin Reckers |
100% |
7.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
10.0 |
29.6 |
25.3 |
15.0 |
6.6 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Joseph Day |
100% |
8.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
4.5 |
16.3 |
25.8 |
20.9 |
12.4 |
7.0 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Graham Pumphrey |
100% |
11.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.7 |
11.3 |
14.6 |
14.6 |
11.2 |
10.1 |
7.7 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Steinmetz |
100% |
13.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
4.0 |
7.4 |
10.0 |
10.6 |
10.1 |
9.0 |
8.0 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Logan Vanzant |
100% |
16.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
7.6 |
8.2 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jace Works |
1.0 |
82.4 |
16.6 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Denton Sluder |
1.4 |
16.7 |
74.2 |
7.6 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Reckers |
2.8 |
0.4 |
5.0 |
54.8 |
29.6 |
8.1 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joseph Day |
3.5 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
25.6 |
45.4 |
20.0 |
5.8 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Graham Pumphrey |
5.3 |
|
0.0 |
1.2 |
7.3 |
31.6 |
31.5 |
18.3 |
7.6 |
2.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Steinmetz |
6.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
11.2 |
25.6 |
30.1 |
22.6 |
8.2 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Logan Vanzant |
7.3 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
3.5 |
11.1 |
23.7 |
35.0 |
24.7 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
